Saint-Colomban Locminé vs Les Herbiers Statistics & Analysis

Saint-Colomban Locminé

Aug 22, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.22

1 1.38

xG Accuracy: 85%

Les Herbiers

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Les Herbiers Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4237911

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Saint-Colomban Locminé 1–1 Les Herbiers

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: National 2 - Gruppo B
Fixture: Saint-Colomban Locminé vs Les Herbiers
Kickoff: 2026-08-22 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
xG (showing): Saint-Colomban Locminé 1.22 — Les Herbiers 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

National 2 - Gruppo B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bayonne	5	4	1	0	13
2	Angoulême	5	3	2	0	11
3	Dinan Léhon	5	3	1	1	10
4	Stade Briochin	5	2	3	0	9
5	Granville	5	2	2	1	8
6	Avranches	5	2	2	1	8
7	Tarbes	5	2	2	1	8
8	Saint-Malo	5	2	2	1	8
9	Le Poiré sur Vie	5	2	0	3	6
10	Lorient II	5	2	0	3	6
11	Saint-Colomban Locminé	5	1	2	2	5
12	Les Herbiers	5	1	1	3	4
13	Saumur	5	1	1	3	4
14	Pontivy GSI	5	0	3	2	3
15	Châteaubriant	5	0	3	2	3
16	Chauray	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bayonne	5	9	4	+5	13
2	Angoulême	5	9	4	+5	11
3	Stade Briochin	5	7	3	+4	9
4	Lorient II	5	7	5	+2	6
5	Granville	5	7	7	0	8
6	Saint-Malo	5	6	2	+4	8
7	Avranches	5	6	3	+3	8
8	Dinan Léhon	5	5	3	+2	10
9	Le Poiré sur Vie	5	5	8	-3	6
10	Pontivy GSI	5	5	9	-4	3
11	Les Herbiers	5	4	7	-3	4
12	Tarbes	5	3	2	+1	8
13	Châteaubriant	5	3	7	-4	3
14	Saumur	5	3	8	-5	4
15	Chauray	5	3	9	-6	1
16	Saint-Colomban Locminé	5	2	3	-1	5