Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. Campionato Giovanile Centrale / Polonia Varsavia U19 vs Legia Varsavia U19

Polonia Varsavia U19 vs Legia Varsavia U19 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Legia Varsavia U19 Polonia Varsavia U19 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11660541

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Polonia Varsavia U19 win · Polonia Varsavia U19 3–2 Legia Varsavia U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Campionato Giovanile Centrale
  • Fixture: Polonia Varsavia U19 vs Legia Varsavia U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Polonia Varsavia U19 1.29 — Legia Varsavia U19 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Giovanile Centrale Campionato Giovanile Centrale — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Legia Varsavia U19 9 6 2 1 20
2 Miedź Legnica U19 9 6 0 3 18
3 Śląsk Wrocław U19 9 5 3 1 18
4 Górnik Zabrze U19 10 3 5 2 14
5 Wisła Kraków U19 9 3 5 1 14
6 Jagiellonia U19 9 4 2 3 14
7 Raków Częstochowa U19 9 4 1 4 13
8 Zagłębie Lubin U19 8 4 1 3 13
9 Talent Warszawa U19 9 4 0 5 12
10 Polonia Varsavia U19 9 3 2 4 11
11 Arkonia U19 9 2 4 3 10
12 Lech Poznań Under 19 8 3 0 5 9
13 Korona Kielce U19 9 2 3 4 9
14 Stal Rzeszów U19 9 2 2 5 8
15 Escola Varsovia U19 8 2 1 5 7
16 Arka Gdynia U19 9 1 3 5 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Legia Varsavia U19 9 22 12 +10 20
2 Wisła Kraków U19 9 18 13 +5 14
3 Miedź Legnica U19 9 17 9 +8 18
4 Górnik Zabrze U19 10 17 11 +6 14
5 Raków Częstochowa U19 9 17 13 +4 13
6 Polonia Varsavia U19 9 17 15 +2 11
7 Talent Warszawa U19 9 16 17 -1 12
8 Śląsk Wrocław U19 9 14 7 +7 18
9 Jagiellonia U19 9 14 13 +1 14
10 Zagłębie Lubin U19 8 14 16 -2 13
11 Lech Poznań Under 19 8 11 15 -4 9
12 Arkonia U19 9 10 13 -3 10
13 Arka Gdynia U19 9 10 19 -9 6
14 Korona Kielce U19 9 9 18 -9 9
15 Stal Rzeszów U19 9 8 15 -7 8
16 Escola Varsovia U19 8 3 11 -8 7