Statistiche / Calcio / Costa Rica. Primera División Costa Rica / Sporting San José vs Escorpiones Belén

Sporting San José vs Escorpiones Belén Statistics & Analysis

Sporting San José Sporting San José
Aug 18, 2026 - 02:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Escorpiones Belén Escorpiones Belén
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Sporting San José Sporting San José ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 12, 2026 · 02:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3727099

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sporting San José win · Sporting San José 2–0 Escorpiones Belén
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera División Costa Rica
  • Fixture: Sporting San José vs Escorpiones Belén
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-18 02:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Sporting San José 1.32 — Escorpiones Belén 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División Costa Rica Primera División Costa Rica — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Deportivo Saprissa 9 7 0 2 21
2 CS Cartaginés 9 6 0 3 18
3 Sporting San José 9 5 2 2 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 15
5 LD Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 11
8 Perez Zeledon 9 2 2 5 8
9 CS Herediano 9 2 1 6 7
10 Escorpiones Belén 9 1 1 7 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Deportivo Saprissa 9 20 10 +10 21
2 CS Cartaginés 9 18 10 +8 18
3 Sporting San José 9 16 8 +8 17
4 LD Alajuelense 9 15 10 +5 14
5 Inter San Carlos 9 9 12 -3 14
6 San Carlos 9 8 9 -1 15
7 Puntarenas FC 9 8 13 -5 11
8 CS Herediano 9 8 14 -6 7
9 Perez Zeledon 9 7 14 -7 8
10 Escorpiones Belén 9 6 15 -9 4