Statistiche / Calcio / Portogallo. Liga Revelação U23 / Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23

Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 29, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.34
2 1.26
xG Accuracy: 68%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Santa Clara U23 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 02:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3018368

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Santa Clara U23 2–2 Felgueiras U23
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Revelação U23
  • Fixture: Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-29 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Santa Clara U23 1.34 — Felgueiras U23 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +4.8 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Revelação U23 Liga Revelação U23 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 13
4 Rio Ave U23 6 3 2 1 11
5 Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11
6 Sporting Braga U23 7 2 4 1 10
7 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 10
8 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10
9 Santa Clara U23 4 2 2 0 8
10 Felgueiras U23 6 2 2 2 8
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 8
12 Famalicão U23 7 2 2 3 8
13 Moreirense U23 6 1 4 1 7
14 União Leiria U23 6 2 1 3 7
15 Leixões U23 7 1 3 3 6
16 SCU Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 5
18 Estrela U23 6 1 2 3 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4
20 Marítimo U23 7 0 3 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Estoril U23 7 16 12 +4 13
2 Sporting CP U23 7 15 9 +6 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 14 10 +4 14
4 Famalicão U23 7 13 15 -2 8
5 Leixões U23 7 12 12 0 6
6 Sporting Braga U23 7 11 9 +2 10
7 Farense U23 7 11 11 0 11
8 Benfica U23 7 10 9 +1 10
9 Felgueiras U23 6 9 8 +1 8
10 Moreirense U23 6 9 8 +1 7
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 9 10 -1 8
12 Penafiel U23 7 9 11 -2 5
13 SCU Torreense U23 6 9 12 -3 6
14 Vizela U23 6 8 6 +2 10
15 Rio Ave U23 6 7 4 +3 11
16 União Leiria U23 6 6 7 -1 7
17 Estrela U23 6 5 10 -5 5
18 Marítimo U23 7 5 12 -7 3
19 Santa Clara U23 4 4 2 +2 8
20 Portimonense U23 7 4 9 -5 4