Chertsey Town vs Poole Town Statistics & Analysis

Chertsey Town

Sep 29, 2026 - 18:45

1 1.25

3 1.35

xG Accuracy: 59%

Poole Town

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Poole Town Poole Town ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 23, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10421903

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Poole Town win · Chertsey Town 1–3 Poole Town

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Non League Premier - Southern South
Fixture: Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
Kickoff: 2026-09-29 18:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Chertsey Town 1.25 — Poole Town 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.0% · Probability edge: +10.8 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Non League Premier - Southern South — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	20
2	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	20
3	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	19
4	Poole Town	9	6	0	3	18
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	12
13	Gosport Borough	9	3	3	3	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	10
17	Basingstoke Town	9	2	3	4	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7
19	Gloucester City	9	1	4	4	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7
21	Havant & Waterlooville	9	1	2	6	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	23	8	+15	20
2	Taunton Town	9	23	22	+1	13
3	Chertsey Town	9	20	15	+5	14
4	Uxbridge	9	19	8	+11	20
5	Hanworth Villa	9	17	8	+9	19
6	Frome Town	10	17	13	+4	15
7	Poole Town	9	14	11	+3	18
8	Chichester City	9	14	16	-2	13
9	Basingstoke Town	9	14	16	-2	9
10	Evesham United	9	14	17	-3	13
11	Bath City	9	13	8	+5	17
12	Yate Town	9	13	18	-5	12
13	Malvern Town	9	13	25	-12	5
14	Gosport Borough	9	12	10	+2	12
15	Gloucester City	9	12	17	-5	7
16	Berkhamsted	10	11	14	-3	13
17	Bracknell Town	9	11	18	-7	11
18	Wimborne Town	8	10	4	+6	12
19	Sholing	8	9	12	-3	10
20	Havant & Waterlooville	9	9	16	-7	5
21	Hanwell Town	8	7	10	-3	7
22	Chippenham Town	8	7	16	-9	7