Wimborne Town vs Yate Town Statistics & Analysis

Sep 29, 2026 - 18:30
4 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 33%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Yate Town Wimborne Town ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 23, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10420448

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wimborne Town win · Wimborne Town 4–0 Yate Town
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Non League Premier - Southern South
  • Fixture: Wimborne Town vs Yate Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-29 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Wimborne Town 1.26 — Yate Town 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.5%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Non League Premier - Southern South Non League Premier - Southern South — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 24
2 Plymouth Parkway 11 7 2 2 23
3 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 23
4 Hanworth Villa 11 7 1 3 22
5 Bath City 11 6 2 3 20
6 Frome Town 12 5 4 3 19
7 Chichester City 11 6 1 4 19
8 Chertsey Town 11 4 4 3 16
9 Berkhamsted 11 5 1 5 16
10 Wimborne Town 10 4 3 3 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 13
13 Evesham United 11 4 1 6 13
14 Basingstoke Town 11 3 3 5 12
15 Yate Town 11 3 3 5 12
16 Hanwell Town 10 2 5 3 11
17 Sholing 10 3 2 5 11
18 Bracknell Town 11 3 2 6 11
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 10
20 Havant & Waterlooville 11 2 2 7 8
21 Chippenham Town 10 2 2 6 8
22 Malvern Town 11 2 2 7 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Plymouth Parkway 11 26 12 +14 23
2 Taunton Town 10 24 24 0 13
3 Chertsey Town 11 23 18 +5 16
4 Hanworth Villa 11 22 12 +10 22
5 Uxbridge 10 20 8 +12 23
6 Frome Town 12 20 14 +6 19
7 Chichester City 11 20 19 +1 19
8 Basingstoke Town 11 19 21 -2 12
9 Poole Town 11 18 12 +6 24
10 Wimborne Town 10 17 9 +8 15
11 Malvern Town 11 17 31 -14 8
12 Bath City 11 16 10 +6 20
13 Havant & Waterlooville 11 16 23 -7 8
14 Gosport Borough 11 15 14 +1 15
15 Gloucester City 10 15 18 -3 10
16 Yate Town 11 15 24 -9 12
17 Berkhamsted 11 14 14 0 16
18 Evesham United 11 14 20 -6 13
19 Sholing 10 12 16 -4 11
20 Bracknell Town 11 12 23 -11 11
21 Hanwell Town 10 10 12 -2 11
22 Chippenham Town 10 9 20 -11 8