Kettering Town vs Anstey Nomads Statistics & Analysis

Kettering Town

Sep 29, 2026 - 18:45

4 1.41

1 1.19

xG Accuracy: 47%

Anstey Nomads

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Kettering Town Kettering Town ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 23, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10421684

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kettering Town win · Kettering Town 4–1 Anstey Nomads

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Fixture: Kettering Town vs Anstey Nomads
Kickoff: 2026-09-29 18:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Kettering Town 1.41 — Anstey Nomads 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.4% · Probability edge: +6.4 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Non League Premier - Southern Central — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	27
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	24
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	9	7	1	1	22
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	20
5	Kettering Town	9	5	3	1	18
6	Rushall Olympic	10	6	0	4	18
7	Peterborough Sports	10	4	4	2	16
8	Anstey Nomads	9	4	3	2	15
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	13
10	Halesowen Town	7	4	0	3	12
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	11
12	Redditch United	9	2	4	3	10
13	Racing Club Warwick	10	2	4	4	10
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	3	1	5	10
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	10
16	Leamington	9	2	3	4	9
17	Worcester City	9	1	4	4	7
18	Hitchin Town	10	1	4	5	7
19	Banbury United	9	1	3	5	6
20	Stratford Town	9	1	3	5	6
21	Leighton Town	9	1	2	6	5
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Real Bedford	9	29	10	+19	27
2	Rushall Olympic	10	21	17	+4	18
3	Peterborough Sports	10	19	15	+4	16
4	Bury Town	9	18	8	+10	24
5	Needham Market	9	18	16	+2	13
6	Alvechurch	9	17	4	+13	20
7	Bromsgrove Sporting	9	17	8	+9	22
8	Leiston	9	17	17	0	11
9	Kettering Town	9	16	6	+10	18
10	Anstey Nomads	9	16	13	+3	15
11	Redditch United	9	12	13	-1	10
12	Leamington	9	12	14	-2	9
13	Leighton Town	9	12	20	-8	5
14	Racing Club Warwick	10	11	14	-3	10
15	Bishop's Stortford	9	10	13	-3	10
16	Stourbridge	9	9	12	-3	10
17	Banbury United	9	9	16	-7	6
18	Stratford Town	9	9	18	-9	6
19	Halesowen Town	7	8	8	0	12
20	Worcester City	9	7	12	-5	7
21	Hitchin Town	10	7	16	-9	7
22	Stamford	9	1	25	-24	0