MSV Duisburg U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Statistics & Analysis

MSV Duisburg U19

Aug 26, 2026 - 09:00

1 1.12

1 1.48

xG Accuracy: 85%

Borussia Dortmund U19

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Borussia Dortmund U19 Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4672090

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · MSV Duisburg U19 1–1 Borussia Dortmund U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Bundesliga U19
Fixture: MSV Duisburg U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
Kickoff: 2026-08-26 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 27.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away 43.9%
xG (showing): MSV Duisburg U19 1.12 — Borussia Dortmund U19 1.48 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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