Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Statistics & Analysis

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19

Aug 07, 2026 - 16:00

2 0.99

1 1.61

xG Accuracy: 64%

RB Leipzig U19

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 RB Leipzig U19 Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 2-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2674191

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 win · Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 2–1 RB Leipzig U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Bundesliga U19
Fixture: Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
Kickoff: 2026-08-07 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 21.7% · Draw 28.0% · Away 50.2%
xG (showing): Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 0.99 — RB Leipzig U19 1.61 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.8% · No 48.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 51.8% · No 48.2%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (12.0%)

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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