Dugo Selo vs Inter Zaprešić Statistics & Analysis

Dugo Selo

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.17

0 1.43

xG Accuracy: 41%

Inter Zaprešić

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Inter Zaprešić Dugo Selo ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10102678

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Dugo Selo win · Dugo Selo 3–0 Inter Zaprešić

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Seconda NL
Fixture: Dugo Selo vs Inter Zaprešić
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
xG (showing): Dugo Selo 1.17 — Inter Zaprešić 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda NL — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bjelovar	5	4	0	1	12
2	Uskok Klis	6	4	0	2	12
3	Uljanik	6	3	2	1	11
4	Trnje	5	3	1	1	10
5	Križevci	6	3	1	2	10
6	Jarun	5	1	4	0	7
7	Inter Zaprešić	5	2	1	2	7
8	Grobničan Čavle	5	2	1	2	7
9	Dugo Selo	5	2	1	2	7
10	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	6	2	1	3	7
11	Zagora	5	1	3	1	6
12	Lucko	5	1	2	2	5
13	Slavonija Požega	6	1	2	3	5
14	Solin	5	1	2	2	5
15	Koprivnica	6	1	1	4	4
16	Varteks Varaždin	5	1	0	4	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bjelovar	5	15	8	+7	12
2	Uskok Klis	6	14	7	+7	12
3	Zagora	5	14	11	+3	6
4	Uljanik	6	14	13	+1	11
5	Jarun	5	11	10	+1	7
6	Slavonija Požega	6	11	13	-2	5
7	Križevci	6	10	9	+1	10
8	Trnje	5	9	4	+5	10
9	Inter Zaprešić	5	9	8	+1	7
10	Grobničan Čavle	5	8	10	-2	7
11	Koprivnica	6	8	16	-8	4
12	Lucko	5	6	5	+1	5
13	Solin	5	6	8	-2	5
14	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	6	5	8	-3	7
15	Dugo Selo	5	4	6	-2	7
16	Varteks Varaždin	5	3	11	-8	3