El Mansura vs Al Nasr SC Statistics & Analysis

El Mansura

Oct 15, 2026 - 12:30

1 1.28

2 1.32

xG Accuracy: 77%

Al Nasr SC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Al Nasr SC Al Nasr SC ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 09, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14188201

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al Nasr SC win · El Mansura 1–2 Al Nasr SC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Seconda Lega Egiziana
Fixture: El Mansura vs Al Nasr SC
Kickoff: 2026-10-15 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): El Mansura 1.28 — Al Nasr SC 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.5% · Probability edge: +9.7 pts · Est. EV: +20.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda Lega Egiziana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Masar	8	6	1	1	19
2	Haras El Hodood	9	5	4	0	19
3	Itesalat	9	6	0	3	18
4	Kahraba Ismailia	9	5	2	2	17
5	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	8	5	2	1	17
6	Al Nasr SC	9	4	4	1	16
7	Pharco	8	5	1	2	16
8	El Mansura	9	4	2	3	14
9	Tersana	8	3	4	1	13
10	El Seka El Hadid	8	3	2	3	11
11	El Entag El Harby	8	2	4	2	10
12	Team	9	3	1	5	10
13	Ismaily SC	8	2	3	3	9
14	Tanta SC	9	2	3	4	9
15	El Dakhleya	9	2	3	4	9
16	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	8	2	2	4	8
17	Dayrout	9	1	3	5	6
18	La Viena FC	9	0	4	5	4
19	Proxy	8	1	1	6	4
20	Mega Sport	8	0	2	6	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kahraba Ismailia	9	17	9	+8	17
2	Masar	8	16	6	+10	19
3	Itesalat	9	14	7	+7	18
4	Al Nasr SC	9	13	7	+6	16
5	El Entag El Harby	8	13	10	+3	10
6	El Seka El Hadid	8	12	14	-2	11
7	Haras El Hodood	9	11	3	+8	19
8	Pharco	8	11	6	+5	16
9	Ismaily SC	8	11	14	-3	9
10	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	8	10	4	+6	17
11	El Mansura	9	10	9	+1	14
12	Team	9	10	15	-5	10
13	Tersana	8	8	7	+1	13
14	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	8	7	8	-1	8
15	El Dakhleya	9	7	13	-6	9
16	Tanta SC	9	5	9	-4	9
17	Mega Sport	8	5	12	-7	2
18	La Viena FC	9	4	11	-7	4
19	Proxy	8	3	11	-8	4
20	Dayrout	9	3	15	-12	6