Szekszárd vs Siófok Statistics & Analysis

Szekszárd

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:30

1 1.25

3 1.35

xG Accuracy: 59%

Siófok

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Siófok Siófok ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5153104

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Siófok win · Szekszárd 1–3 Siófok

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Sudovest
Fixture: Szekszárd vs Siófok
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Szekszárd 1.25 — Siófok 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NB III - Sudovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Pécsi MFC	7	7	0	0	21
2	Kaposvár	6	5	0	1	15
3	Budafoki LC	6	4	1	1	13
4	PTE-PEAC	6	4	1	1	13
5	MTK Budapest II	6	4	0	2	12
6	Ferencváros II	6	3	2	1	11
7	Siófok	7	3	2	2	11
8	Majosi	7	3	1	3	10
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	7	2	1	4	7
10	Budaörs	7	2	1	4	7
11	Érdi VSE	6	1	3	2	6
12	Iváncsa	6	2	0	4	6
13	Sárbogárd	7	1	1	5	4
14	Paksi SE II	7	0	3	4	3
15	Szekszárd	7	0	0	7	0
15	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Pécsi MFC	7	24	2	+22	21
2	MTK Budapest II	6	21	9	+12	12
3	Kaposvár	6	19	5	+14	15
4	Ferencváros II	6	13	8	+5	11
5	Érdi VSE	6	13	13	0	6
6	Majosi	7	13	16	-3	10
7	Budafoki LC	6	12	5	+7	13
8	PTE-PEAC	6	12	6	+6	13
9	Siófok	7	12	8	+4	11
10	Dunaharaszti MTK	7	10	15	-5	7
11	Iváncsa	6	10	16	-6	6
12	Budaörs	7	10	24	-14	7
13	Paksi SE II	7	9	17	-8	3
14	Sárbogárd	7	4	15	-11	4
15	Szekszárd	7	2	25	-23	0
16	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	3	-3	0