Hódmezővásárhely vs Dabas Statistics & Analysis

Hódmezővásárhely

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00

1 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 85%

Dabas

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Dabas Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13190011

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Hódmezővásárhely 1–1 Dabas

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Sudest
Fixture: Hódmezővásárhely vs Dabas
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Hódmezővásárhely 1.29 — Dabas 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NB III - Sudest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Gyulai Termál	11	11	0	0	33
2	III. Kerületi TUE	11	8	1	2	25
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	21
4	Újpest II	11	5	3	3	18
5	Vasas II	11	5	2	4	17
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	4	4	2	16
7	Csepel	11	3	5	3	14
8	Monori SE	11	3	5	3	14
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	11	3	5	3	14
10	Dabas	11	4	2	5	14
11	Bekescsaba 1912	11	3	4	4	13
12	Honvéd II	10	3	2	5	11
13	Sándorfalva	11	3	1	7	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	11	1	5	5	8
15	BKV Előre	10	1	1	8	4
16	Szegedi VSE	11	0	3	8	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Gyulai Termál	11	39	9	+30	33
2	Újpest II	11	28	18	+10	18
3	ESMTK	10	27	10	+17	21
4	Szolnoki MAV FC	11	24	25	-1	14
5	Vasas II	11	23	12	+11	17
6	Csepel	11	21	17	+4	14
7	Monori SE	11	21	19	+2	14
8	Szeged-Csanád II	10	19	14	+5	16
9	Honvéd II	10	18	15	+3	11
10	III. Kerületi TUE	11	16	5	+11	25
11	Bekescsaba 1912	11	16	15	+1	13
12	Dabas	11	14	25	-11	14
13	Szegedi VSE	11	13	35	-22	3
14	Hódmezővásárhely	11	12	23	-11	8
15	Sándorfalva	11	8	28	-20	10
16	BKV Előre	10	7	36	-29	4