Csepel vs BKV Előre Statistics & Analysis

Csepel

Aug 26, 2026 - 15:30

9 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 11%

BKV Előre

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (10 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Csepel Csepel ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 9-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4675383

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Csepel win · Csepel 9–1 BKV Előre

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Sudest
Fixture: Csepel vs BKV Előre
Kickoff: 2026-08-26 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Csepel 1.33 — BKV Előre 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NB III - Sudest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Gyulai Termál	9	9	0	0	27
2	III. Kerületi TUE	9	8	0	1	24
3	Újpest II	9	5	2	2	17
4	ESMTK	8	4	3	1	15
5	Szeged-Csanád II	9	4	3	2	15
6	Vasas II	9	4	2	3	14
7	Csepel	9	3	4	2	13
8	Monori SE	9	3	4	2	13
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	9	3	4	2	13
10	Dabas	8	3	1	4	10
11	Honvéd II	9	2	2	5	8
12	Bekescsaba 1912	8	1	4	3	7
13	Hódmezővásárhely	9	1	3	5	6
14	BKV Előre	8	1	1	6	4
15	Sándorfalva	9	1	1	7	4
16	Szegedi VSE	9	0	2	7	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Gyulai Termál	9	33	5	+28	27
2	Újpest II	9	25	14	+11	17
3	Vasas II	9	20	11	+9	14
4	Csepel	9	20	15	+5	13
5	Szolnoki MAV FC	9	20	20	0	13
6	Monori SE	9	19	15	+4	13
7	Szeged-Csanád II	9	18	13	+5	15
8	ESMTK	8	17	9	+8	15
9	Honvéd II	9	17	15	+2	8
10	III. Kerületi TUE	9	15	3	+12	24
11	Dabas	8	12	18	-6	10
12	Szegedi VSE	9	11	30	-19	2
13	Bekescsaba 1912	8	10	14	-4	7
14	Hódmezővásárhely	9	10	21	-11	6
15	BKV Előre	8	7	29	-22	4
16	Sándorfalva	9	6	28	-22	4