Eger vs Mátészalka Statistics & Analysis

Eger

Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.38

3 1.22

xG Accuracy: 42%

Mátészalka

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Eger Mátészalka ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8672966

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mátészalka win · Eger 0–3 Mátészalka

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NB III - Nordest
Fixture: Eger vs Mátészalka
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Eger 1.38 — Mátészalka 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NB III - Nordest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	8	7	0	1	21
2	Cigánd SE	8	7	0	1	21
3	DEAC	8	5	2	1	17
4	Gödöllő	8	5	0	3	15
5	Diósgyőr II	8	3	4	1	13
6	Kisvárda II	8	3	4	1	13
7	Eger	8	4	1	3	13
8	Mátészalka	8	3	3	2	12
9	Füzesabony	8	4	0	4	12
10	Debrecen II	8	3	1	4	10
11	Tiszaújváros	8	3	0	5	9
12	Tiszafüredi VSE	8	3	0	5	9
13	Hajdúnánás	8	2	1	5	7
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	8	2	0	6	6
15	Nyíregyháza II	8	1	0	7	3
16	Tarpa	8	1	0	7	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	8	22	6	+16	21
2	Cigánd SE	8	21	6	+15	21
3	DEAC	8	20	8	+12	17
4	Debrecen II	8	20	19	+1	10
5	Mátészalka	8	13	11	+2	12
6	Gödöllő	8	12	9	+3	15
7	Diósgyőr II	8	12	10	+2	13
8	Kisvárda II	8	12	10	+2	13
9	Hajdúnánás	8	12	17	-5	7
10	Nyíregyháza II	8	10	23	-13	3
11	Füzesabony	8	9	8	+1	12
12	Tiszaújváros	8	9	11	-2	9
13	Eger	8	9	15	-6	13
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	8	6	14	-8	6
15	Tiszafüredi VSE	8	5	10	-5	9
16	Tarpa	8	5	20	-15	3