Mátészalka vs Gödöllő Statistics & Analysis

Mátészalka

Aug 12, 2026 - 15:30

4 1.17

0 1.43

xG Accuracy: 31%

Gödöllő

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Gödöllő Mátészalka ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2482345

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mátészalka win · Mátészalka 4–0 Gödöllő

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: NB III - Nordest
Fixture: Mátészalka vs Gödöllő
Kickoff: 2026-08-05 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
xG (showing): Mátészalka 1.17 — Gödöllő 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NB III - Nordest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	9	7	0	2	21
2	Cigánd SE	8	7	0	1	21
3	DEAC	9	5	2	2	17
4	Diósgyőr II	9	4	4	1	16
5	Mátészalka	9	4	3	2	15
6	Gödöllő	9	5	0	4	15
7	Füzesabony	9	5	0	4	15
8	Debrecen II	9	4	1	4	13
9	Kisvárda II	8	3	4	1	13
10	Eger	8	4	1	3	13
11	Tiszaújváros	9	4	0	5	12
12	Tiszafüredi VSE	9	3	0	6	9
13	Hajdúnánás	8	2	1	5	7
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	9	2	0	7	6
15	Tarpa	9	2	0	7	6
16	Nyíregyháza II	9	1	0	8	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	9	23	8	+15	21
2	Debrecen II	9	23	20	+3	13
3	DEAC	9	22	13	+9	17
4	Cigánd SE	8	21	6	+15	21
5	Diósgyőr II	9	17	12	+5	16
6	Mátészalka	9	15	12	+3	15
7	Gödöllő	9	12	10	+2	15
8	Kisvárda II	8	12	10	+2	13
9	Hajdúnánás	8	12	17	-5	7
10	Füzesabony	9	10	8	+2	15
11	Tiszaújváros	9	10	11	-1	12
12	Nyíregyháza II	9	10	25	-15	3
13	Eger	8	9	15	-6	13
14	Tarpa	9	7	20	-13	6
15	Tiszafüredi VSE	9	6	13	-7	9
16	Salgótarjáni BTC	9	6	15	-9	6