Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia Statistics & Analysis

Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00

1 1.32

5 1.28

xG Accuracy: 33%

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Bratslav Vinnytsia

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Bratslav Vinnytsia ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13186580

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bratslav Vinnytsia win · Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Druha Liga Ucraina
Fixture: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.32 — Bratslav Vinnytsia 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Druha Liga Ucraina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	9	7	2	0	23
1	Karbon Cherkasy	8	4	3	1	15
2	Nyva Vinnytsya	8	4	3	1	15
2	Lozova	8	4	1	3	13
3	Dnister Zalishchyky	8	4	2	2	14
3	Atlet	8	3	3	2	12
4	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	9	4	1	4	13
4	SC Poltava 2	9	3	2	4	11
5	Vilkhivtsi	9	3	3	3	12
5	Rebel	8	3	2	3	11
6	Nyva Ternopil II	9	3	1	5	10
6	Oleksandria II	8	2	4	2	10
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	2	2	4	8
7	Trostianets	7	2	4	1	10
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	8	1	4	3	7
8	Metalurh Zaporizhya	8	2	3	3	9
9	Ruh Lviv	8	1	0	7	3
9	Penuel	8	1	2	5	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	9	25	8	+17	23
2	Atlet	8	16	12	+4	12
3	Dnister Zalishchyky	8	16	13	+3	14
4	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	9	16	19	-3	13
5	Rebel	8	15	15	0	11
6	Nyva Vinnytsya	8	14	8	+6	15
7	Karbon Cherkasy	8	13	9	+4	15
8	Ruh Lviv	8	13	16	-3	3
9	Dinaz Vyshhorod	8	12	18	-6	7
10	Vilkhivtsi	9	11	13	-2	12
11	Lozova	8	9	9	0	13
12	Metalurh Zaporizhya	8	9	10	-1	9
13	Trostianets	7	8	5	+3	10
14	Oleksandria II	8	8	7	+1	10
15	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	8	13	-5	8
16	Nyva Ternopil II	9	8	15	-7	10
17	Penuel	8	6	15	-9	5
18	SC Poltava 2	9	5	7	-2	11