Penuel vs Rebel Statistics & Analysis

Penuel

Sep 06, 2026 - 11:30

0 1.14

3 1.46

xG Accuracy: 48%

Rebel

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Rebel Rebel ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6326601

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Rebel win · Penuel 0–3 Rebel

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Druha Liga Ucraina
Fixture: Penuel vs Rebel
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 27.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.9%
xG (showing): Penuel 1.14 — Rebel 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Druha Liga Ucraina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	7	5	2	0	17
2	Nyva Vinnytsya	7	4	2	1	14
3	Dnister Zalishchyky	8	4	2	2	14
4	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	7	4	1	2	13
5	Nyva Ternopil II	7	3	0	4	9
6	Vilkhivtsi	7	2	2	3	8
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	7	2	1	4	7
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	7	0	4	3	4
9	Ruh Lviv	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	7	17	5	+12	17
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	8	16	13	+3	14
3	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	7	14	12	+2	13
4	Nyva Vinnytsya	7	12	6	+6	14
5	Ruh Lviv	7	11	13	-2	3
6	Dinaz Vyshhorod	7	10	17	-7	4
7	Vilkhivtsi	7	9	12	-3	8
8	Nyva Ternopil II	7	7	13	-6	9
9	Skala 1911 Stryi	7	6	11	-5	7