Statistiche / Calcio / Messico. Liga MX U21 / Atlante U21 vs Monterrey U21

Atlante U21 vs Monterrey U21 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 25, 2026 - 18:00
5 1.31
4 1.29
xG Accuracy: 17%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Atlante U21 Atlante U21 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9572933

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atlante U21 win · Atlante U21 5–4 Monterrey U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga MX U21
  • Fixture: Atlante U21 vs Monterrey U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-25 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Atlante U21 1.31 — Monterrey U21 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.2% · Probability edge: +6.6 pts · Est. EV: +9.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX U21 Liga MX U21 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Toluca U21 10 9 1 0 28
2 Club León U21 10 9 0 1 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 6 1 3 19
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 18
5 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 1 4 16
6 Puebla U21 10 5 1 4 16
7 Club América U21 10 5 0 5 15
8 Atlético San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 15
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 15
10 Monterrey U21 9 4 1 4 13
11 Juarez U21 10 4 1 5 13
12 Santos Laguna U21 10 4 1 5 13
13 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 1 6 10
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 1 6 10
16 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 9
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 2 1 7 7
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Toluca U21 10 19 7 +12 28
2 Club León U21 10 19 9 +10 27
3 Monterrey U21 9 18 13 +5 13
4 Cruz Azul U21 10 18 15 +3 16
5 Club Tijuana U21 10 17 12 +5 19
6 Atlético San Luis U21 10 17 19 -2 15
7 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 16 14 +2 18
8 Club América U21 10 14 14 0 15
9 Atlante U21 10 14 20 -6 12
10 Atlas U21 10 13 12 +1 10
11 Puebla U21 10 11 8 +3 16
12 Necaxa U21 10 11 15 -4 15
13 UNAM Pumas U21 10 10 13 -3 10
14 Pachuca U21 10 10 15 -5 9
15 Queretaro U21 9 10 16 -6 6
16 Juarez U21 10 9 11 -2 13
17 Santos Laguna U21 10 9 12 -3 13
18 Tigres UANL U21 10 9 19 -10 7