Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga Niederrhein / BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis

BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.28
0 1.32
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 SC St. Tönis BW Dingden ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10978751

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result BW Dingden win · BW Dingden 1–0 SC St. Tönis
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga Niederrhein
  • Fixture: BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): BW Dingden 1.28 — SC St. Tönis 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga Niederrhein Oberliga Niederrhein — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Schonnebeck 8 7 1 0 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 18
3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 9 5 2 2 17
4 Solingen-Wald 9 5 0 4 15
5 SC St. Tönis 8 4 2 2 14
6 Germania Ratingen 9 3 5 1 14
7 SF Baumberg 8 4 2 2 14
8 KFC Uerdingen 05 9 4 1 4 13
9 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 13
10 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 13
11 BW Dingden 8 4 1 3 13
12 Monheim 8 2 3 3 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 8
14 Wuppertaler SV 8 2 1 5 7
15 SW Essen 9 1 3 5 6
16 Büderich 9 1 3 5 6
17 Holzheimer SG 8 1 1 6 4
18 Meerbusch 8 0 2 6 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Schonnebeck 8 31 10 +21 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 22 13 +9 18
3 KFC Uerdingen 05 9 21 12 +9 13
4 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 9 20 10 +10 17
5 Solingen-Wald 9 19 22 -3 15
6 SF Baumberg 8 18 16 +2 14
7 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 8 18 18 0 13
8 SC St. Tönis 8 17 12 +5 14
9 Germania Ratingen 9 17 14 +3 14
10 Monheim 8 15 13 +2 9
11 Sonsbeck 8 14 10 +4 13
12 Büderich 9 12 26 -14 6
13 Wuppertaler SV 8 11 10 +1 7
14 Scherpenberg 8 11 18 -7 8
15 SW Essen 9 11 21 -10 6
16 BW Dingden 8 10 11 -1 13
17 Holzheimer SG 8 10 28 -18 4
18 Meerbusch 8 5 18 -13 2