Monheim vs SF Baumberg Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.25
2 1.35
xG Accuracy: 78%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 SF Baumberg SF Baumberg ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8702365

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result SF Baumberg win · Monheim 1–2 SF Baumberg
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga Niederrhein
  • Fixture: Monheim vs SF Baumberg
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Monheim 1.25 — SF Baumberg 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Oberliga Niederrhein Oberliga Niederrhein — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Schonnebeck 7 6 1 0 19
2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7 5 1 1 16
3 SF Baumberg 6 4 2 0 14
4 KFC Uerdingen 05 7 4 1 2 13
5 SSVg Velbert 6 4 0 2 12
6 SC St. Tönis 6 3 2 1 11
7 Sonsbeck 6 2 4 0 10
8 BW Dingden 6 3 1 2 10
9 Solingen-Wald 6 3 0 3 9
10 Monheim 6 2 2 2 8
11 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 6 2 1 3 7
12 Germania Ratingen 6 0 5 1 5
13 SW Essen 6 1 2 3 5
14 Scherpenberg 6 1 2 3 5
15 Büderich 6 1 2 3 5
16 Wuppertaler SV 7 1 1 5 4
17 Meerbusch 7 0 2 5 2
18 Holzheimer SG 7 0 1 6 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Schonnebeck 7 28 8 +20 19
2 KFC Uerdingen 05 7 18 7 +11 13
3 SF Baumberg 6 17 10 +7 14
4 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7 16 5 +11 16
5 SSVg Velbert 6 15 11 +4 12
6 Monheim 6 13 10 +3 8
7 SC St. Tönis 6 13 11 +2 11
8 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 6 12 15 -3 7
9 Solingen-Wald 6 10 13 -3 9
10 Germania Ratingen 6 10 13 -3 5
11 SW Essen 6 9 14 -5 5
12 Scherpenberg 6 9 15 -6 5
13 Sonsbeck 6 8 5 +3 10
14 BW Dingden 6 8 6 +2 10
15 Büderich 6 8 17 -9 5
16 Wuppertaler SV 7 7 10 -3 4
17 Holzheimer SG 7 7 26 -19 1
18 Meerbusch 7 2 14 -12 2