Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga Niederrhein / Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Meerbusch

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Meerbusch Statistics & Analysis

Aug 14, 2026 - 17:30
3 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 45%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3233589

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Fortuna Düsseldorf II win · Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3–0 Meerbusch
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga Niederrhein
  • Fixture: Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Meerbusch
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-14 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1.34 — Meerbusch 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Oberliga Niederrhein Oberliga NiederrheinClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Schonnebeck 5 4 1 0 13
2 Monheim 5 3 2 0 11
3 SF Baumberg 5 3 2 0 11
4 SC St. Tönis 5 3 2 0 11
5 KFC Uerdingen 05 5 3 1 1 10
6 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6 3 1 2 10
7 SSVg Velbert 5 3 0 2 9
8 Sonsbeck 5 1 4 0 7
9 BW Dingden 5 2 1 2 7
10 Solingen-Wald 5 2 0 3 6
11 Germania Ratingen 5 0 5 0 5
12 Scherpenberg 5 1 2 2 5
13 SW Essen 5 1 2 2 5
14 Büderich 5 1 2 2 5
15 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 5 1 1 3 4
16 Meerbusch 5 0 2 3 2
17 Wuppertaler SV 6 0 1 5 1
18 Holzheimer SG 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Schonnebeck 5 22 7 +15 13
2 KFC Uerdingen 05 5 15 6 +9 10
3 SF Baumberg 5 15 9 +6 11
4 Monheim 5 14 6 +8 11
5 SC St. Tönis 5 12 8 +4 11
6 SSVg Velbert 5 12 11 +1 9
7 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6 10 6 +4 10
8 Germania Ratingen 5 9 9 0 5
9 Viktoria Jüchen-Garzweiler 5 9 14 -5 4
10 Scherpenberg 5 8 12 -4 5
11 Büderich 5 8 14 -6 5
12 Sonsbeck 5 7 5 +2 7
13 Solingen-Wald 5 7 11 -4 6
14 SW Essen 5 7 11 -4 5
15 Holzheimer SG 5 7 19 -12 1
16 BW Dingden 5 5 6 -1 7
17 Wuppertaler SV 6 3 10 -7 1
18 Meerbusch 5 2 8 -6 2