Vreden vs Hiltrup Statistics & Analysis

Vreden

Aug 09, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.26

0 1.34

xG Accuracy: 56%

Hiltrup

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Hiltrup Vreden ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2963625

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Vreden win · Vreden 2–0 Hiltrup

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Vestfalia
Fixture: Vreden vs Hiltrup
Kickoff: 2026-08-09 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Vreden 1.26 — Hiltrup 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Vestfalia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Gievenbeck	7	5	1	1	16
2	Maaslingen	7	5	1	1	16
3	Eintracht Rheine	7	5	0	2	15
4	Erkenschwick	7	4	3	0	15
5	Lippstadt 08	7	4	1	2	13
6	Vreden	7	4	1	2	13
7	Verl II	7	3	2	2	11
8	Westfalia Kinderhaus	7	3	1	3	10
9	ASC Dortmund	6	3	0	3	9
10	TuS Hordel	7	2	3	2	9
11	Sprockhövel	7	2	2	3	8
12	Arminia II	7	2	2	3	8
13	Victoria Clarholz	7	2	1	4	7
14	Preußen Münster II	7	1	3	3	6
15	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	7	2	0	5	6
16	Ennepetal	7	0	5	2	5
17	Hiltrup	7	1	1	5	4
18	Schermbeck	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sprockhövel	7	21	16	+5	8
2	Vreden	7	19	18	+1	13
3	Eintracht Rheine	7	17	10	+7	15
4	Victoria Clarholz	7	17	17	0	7
5	Gievenbeck	7	16	6	+10	16
6	Maaslingen	7	16	9	+7	16
7	ASC Dortmund	6	14	13	+1	9
8	Lippstadt 08	7	12	10	+2	13
9	Verl II	7	12	12	0	11
10	Arminia II	7	11	10	+1	8
11	Erkenschwick	7	10	6	+4	15
12	TuS Hordel	7	10	10	0	9
13	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	7	10	16	-6	6
14	Preußen Münster II	7	9	10	-1	6
15	Ennepetal	7	9	15	-6	5
16	Westfalia Kinderhaus	7	8	10	-2	10
17	Hiltrup	7	5	17	-12	4
18	Schermbeck	6	4	15	-11	1