Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau Statistics & Analysis

Cheng Fung

Jul 24, 2026 - 11:00

2 1.24

2 1.36

xG Accuracy: 68%

Universidade de Macau

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Universidade de Macau Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1452217

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Cheng Fung 2–2 Universidade de Macau

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Primeira Divisão di Macao
Fixture: Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau
Kickoff: 2026-07-24 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Cheng Fung 1.24 — Universidade de Macau 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primeira Divisão di Macao — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Shao Jiang	13	10	2	1	32
2	CPK	12	9	1	2	28
3	Jia Hua	12	8	1	3	25
4	Chiba	12	6	3	3	21
5	Cheng Fung	13	5	4	4	19
6	Benfica Macao	12	4	4	4	16
7	Gorilla of the Universe	12	4	1	7	13
8	Hang Sai	12	2	3	7	9
9	Artilheiros	12	2	2	8	8
10	Universidade de Macau	12	0	1	11	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	CPK	12	57	9	+48	28
2	Shao Jiang	13	52	13	+39	32
3	Jia Hua	12	35	16	+19	25
4	Chiba	12	33	21	+12	21
5	Gorilla of the Universe	12	32	51	-19	13
6	Cheng Fung	13	23	19	+4	19
7	Benfica Macao	12	23	28	-5	16
8	Hang Sai	12	18	28	-10	9
9	Artilheiros	12	15	62	-47	8
10	Universidade de Macau	12	7	48	-41	1