Statistiche / Calcio / Lebanon. Premier League / Tadamon Sour vs Racing

Tadamon Sour vs Racing Statistics & Analysis

Jul 21, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.45
0 1.00
xG Accuracy: 67%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 13:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1602519

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tadamon Sour win · Tadamon Sour 1–0 Racing
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Tadamon Sour vs Racing
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-21 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away 24.4%
  • xG (showing): Tadamon Sour 1.45 — Racing 1.0 (total xG ≈ 2.45)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 55.7% · Over 2.5 44.3%); BTTS Yes (Yes 50.0% · No 50.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 50.0% · No 50.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53
2 Al Nejmeh 21 14 4 3 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 40
4 Jwaaya FC 21 11 5 5 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 30
7 Shabab Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 27
8 Al Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 22
9 Reyady Abaseya 21 5 5 11 20
10 Tadamon Sour 21 3 8 10 17
11 Bourj 11 3 1 7 10
12 Racing 21 0 1 20 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Al Ansar 21 53 9 +44 53
2 Al Nejmeh 21 42 10 +32 46
3 Al Ahed 21 34 22 +12 40
4 Jwaaya FC 21 31 14 +17 38
5 Safa 21 30 17 +13 36
6 Al Hikma 21 29 27 +2 30
7 Shabab Al Sahel 21 22 21 +1 27
8 Reyady Abaseya 21 16 30 -14 20
9 Tadamon Sour 21 12 26 -14 17
10 Al Mabarrah 21 12 36 -24 22
11 Bourj 11 8 20 -12 10
12 Racing 21 4 61 -57 1