Statistiche / Calcio / Turchia. 2. Lig / Hekimoğlu Trabzon vs Serik Belediyespor

Hekimoğlu Trabzon vs Serik Belediyespor Statistics & Analysis

Hekimoğlu Trabzon Hekimoğlu Trabzon
Oct 03, 2026 - 11:30
4 1.15
1 1.45
xG Accuracy: 40%
Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Serik Belediyespor Hekimoğlu Trabzon ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11223969

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hekimoğlu Trabzon win · Hekimoğlu Trabzon 4–1 Serik Belediyespor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: Hekimoğlu Trabzon vs Serik Belediyespor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Hekimoğlu Trabzon 1.15 — Serik Belediyespor 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.5% · Probability edge: +3.3 pts · Est. EV: +4.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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2. Lig 2. Lig — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Muş Menderesspor 5 4 1 0 13
2 Aliağa FAŞ 5 4 0 1 12
3 Elazığspor 5 3 1 1 10
4 Çorluspor 1947 5 3 1 1 10
5 Belediye Derincespor 5 2 3 0 9
6 Menemen Belediyespor 5 3 0 2 9
7 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 5 2 1 2 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 7
9 Somaspor 4 2 1 1 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 7
11 Şanlıurfaspor 5 1 3 1 6
12 Ankaraspor 5 2 0 3 6
13 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 5 1 2 2 5
14 Kastamonuspor 1966 5 2 0 3 3
15 Sebat Gençlikspor 4 0 1 3 1
16 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 5 0 0 5 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3
18 Adana Demirspor 5 1 1 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Muş Menderesspor 5 15 7 +8 13
2 Erbaaspor 5 13 12 +1 7
3 Elazığspor 5 12 4 +8 10
4 Aliağa FAŞ 5 12 9 +3 12
5 Çorluspor 1947 5 11 5 +6 10
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 5 9 7 +2 7
7 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 5 9 8 +1 5
8 Somaspor 4 8 7 +1 7
9 Isparta 32 Spor 5 8 8 0 7
10 Belediye Derincespor 5 7 4 +3 9
11 Menemen Belediyespor 5 7 7 0 9
12 Şanlıurfaspor 5 7 7 0 6
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 4 6 10 -4 1
14 Kastamonuspor 1966 5 4 13 -9 3
15 Ankaraspor 5 3 6 -3 6
16 Adana Demirspor 5 3 9 -6
17 Hatayspor 5 2 4 -2
18 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 5 2 11 -9 0
2. Lig Turchia. 2. Lig Pronostici