Erzin Spor vs 24 Erzincanspor Statistics & Analysis

Erzin Spor

Oct 04, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.26

3 1.34

xG Accuracy: 52%

24 Erzincanspor

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 24 Erzincanspor 24 Erzincanspor ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11664180

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result 24 Erzincanspor win · Erzin Spor 2–3 24 Erzincanspor

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 2. Lig
Fixture: Erzin Spor vs 24 Erzincanspor
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Erzin Spor 1.26 — 24 Erzincanspor 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

2. Lig — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Muş Menderesspor	5	4	1	0	13
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	12
3	Elazığspor	4	3	1	0	10
4	Menemen Belediyespor	5	3	0	2	9
5	Belediye Derincespor	4	2	2	0	8
6	Çorluspor 1947	4	2	1	1	7
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	7
11	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	4	1	2	1	5
12	Şanlıurfaspor	4	1	2	1	5
13	Ankaraspor	4	1	0	3	3
14	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	1
15	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	4	0	0	4	0
16	Kastamonuspor 1966	4	1	0	3	0
17	Hatayspor	5	1	1	3
18	Adana Demirspor	5	1	1	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Muş Menderesspor	5	15	7	+8	13
2	Erbaaspor	5	13	12	+1	7
3	Aliağa FAŞ	5	12	9	+3	12
4	Elazığspor	4	10	1	+9	10
5	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	9	7	+2	7
6	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	4	9	7	+2	5
7	Çorluspor 1947	4	8	3	+5	7
8	Somaspor	4	8	7	+1	7
9	Isparta 32 Spor	5	8	8	0	7
10	Menemen Belediyespor	5	7	7	0	9
11	Belediye Derincespor	4	6	3	+3	8
12	Şanlıurfaspor	4	6	6	0	5
13	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	6	10	-4	1
14	Adana Demirspor	5	3	9	-6
15	Hatayspor	5	2	4	-2
16	Ankaraspor	4	2	6	-4	3
17	Kastamonuspor 1966	4	2	12	-10	0
18	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	4	1	9	-8	0