İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Muş Menderesspor Statistics & Analysis

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30

0 1.18

1 1.42

xG Accuracy: 64%

Muş Menderesspor

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Muş Menderesspor Muş Menderesspor ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11230597

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Muş Menderesspor win · İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 0–1 Muş Menderesspor

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 2. Lig
Fixture: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Muş Menderesspor
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
xG (showing): İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 1.18 — Muş Menderesspor 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

2. Lig — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Muş Menderesspor	5	4	1	0	13
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	12
3	Elazığspor	5	3	1	1	10
4	Çorluspor 1947	5	3	1	1	10
5	Belediye Derincespor	5	2	3	0	9
6	Menemen Belediyespor	5	3	0	2	9
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	7
11	Şanlıurfaspor	5	1	3	1	6
12	Ankaraspor	5	2	0	3	6
13	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	1	2	2	5
14	Kastamonuspor 1966	5	2	0	3	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	1
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	0	0	5	0
17	Hatayspor	5	1	1	3
18	Adana Demirspor	5	1	1	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Muş Menderesspor	5	15	7	+8	13
2	Erbaaspor	5	13	12	+1	7
3	Elazığspor	5	12	4	+8	10
4	Aliağa FAŞ	5	12	9	+3	12
5	Çorluspor 1947	5	11	5	+6	10
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	9	7	+2	7
7	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	9	8	+1	5
8	Somaspor	4	8	7	+1	7
9	Isparta 32 Spor	5	8	8	0	7
10	Belediye Derincespor	5	7	4	+3	9
11	Menemen Belediyespor	5	7	7	0	9
12	Şanlıurfaspor	5	7	7	0	6
13	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	6	10	-4	1
14	Kastamonuspor 1966	5	4	13	-9	3
15	Ankaraspor	5	3	6	-3	6
16	Adana Demirspor	5	3	9	-6
17	Hatayspor	5	2	4	-2
18	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	2	11	-9	0