Statistiche / Calcio / Turchia. 3. Lig - Gruppo 3 / Osmaniyespor vs Adana Adaletgücü

Osmaniyespor vs Adana Adaletgücü Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.24
2 1.36
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Adana Adaletgücü Osmaniyespor ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6355146

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Osmaniyespor win · Osmaniyespor 3–2 Adana Adaletgücü
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Lig - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Osmaniyespor vs Adana Adaletgücü
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Osmaniyespor 1.24 — Adana Adaletgücü 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Lig - Gruppo 3 3. Lig - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Karaköprü Belediyespor 4 4 0 0 12
2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 4 3 1 0 10
3 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 3 3 0 0 9
4 Niğde Belediyesispor 3 3 0 0 9
5 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3 3 0 0 9
6 Talasgücü Belediyespor 3 2 1 0 7
7 Kırşehir Belediyespor 3 2 0 1 6
8 Silifke Belediyespor 3 1 1 1 4
9 Adana Adaletgücü 3 1 0 2 3
10 İçel İdmanyurdu Spor 3 1 0 2 3
11 Karaman Belediyespor 3 1 0 2 3
12 Osmaniyespor 4 1 0 3 3
13 Yozgat Belediye Bozokspor 4 1 0 3 3
14 Ağrı 1970 3 0 1 2 1
15 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 3 0 1 2 1
16 Diyarbekirspor 3 0 1 2 1
17 Adanaspor 3 0 0 3 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 4 10 2 +8 10
2 Karaköprü Belediyespor 4 10 3 +7 12
3 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 3 8 1 +7 9
4 Niğde Belediyesispor 3 8 1 +7 9
5 Kırşehir Belediyespor 3 8 3 +5 6
6 Adana Adaletgücü 3 7 5 +2 3
7 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3 5 1 +4 9
8 Osmaniyespor 4 5 9 -4 3
9 Silifke Belediyespor 3 4 3 +1 4
10 Talasgücü Belediyespor 3 3 1 +2 7
11 İçel İdmanyurdu Spor 3 3 5 -2 3
12 Karaman Belediyespor 3 3 6 -3 3
13 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 3 2 6 -4 1
14 Yozgat Belediye Bozokspor 4 2 9 -7 3
15 Adanaspor 3 2 10 -8 0
16 Ağrı 1970 3 1 3 -2 1
17 Diyarbekirspor 3 0 4 -4 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 0 9 -9 0