İnkılapspor vs Tokat Belediye Plevnespor Statistics & Analysis

İnkılapspor

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30

0 1.21

1 1.39

xG Accuracy: 64%

Tokat Belediye Plevnespor

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Tokat Belediye Plevnespor Tokat Belediye Plevnespor ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11230081

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tokat Belediye Plevnespor win · İnkılapspor 0–1 Tokat Belediye Plevnespor

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. Lig - Gruppo 1
Fixture: İnkılapspor vs Tokat Belediye Plevnespor
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): İnkılapspor 1.21 — Tokat Belediye Plevnespor 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. Lig - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	3	2	0	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	3	1	1	10
3	Pazarspor	5	3	1	1	10
4	Galata	5	2	3	0	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	2	3	0	9
6	Tokat Belediye Plevnespor	5	2	2	1	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	2	2	1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	2	2	1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	2	2	1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	1	4	0	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	2	1	2	7
12	Tuzlaspor	5	1	2	2	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	1	1	3	4
14	Silivrispor	5	1	1	3	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	1	1	3	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	1	1	3	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	0	2	3	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	12	6	+6	10
2	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	10	2	+8	11
3	Pazarspor	5	9	3	+6	10
4	Tokat Belediye Plevnespor	5	8	6	+2	8
5	Galata	5	7	3	+4	9
6	Orduspor 1967	5	7	6	+1	8
7	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	7	14	-7	4
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	6	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	6	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	5	4	+1	7
11	Gölcükspor	5	5	7	-2	4
12	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	5	8	-3	7
13	İnkılapspor	5	5	10	-5	4
14	Tuzlaspor	5	4	4	0	5
15	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	4	8	-4	2
16	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	3	1	+2	9
17	Silivrispor	5	2	6	-4	4
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	2	9	-7	1