Statistiche / Calcio / Albania. Superliga Albanese / Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Tirana

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Tirana Statistics & Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Sep 20, 2026 - 16:30
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Partizani Tirana Partizani Tirana
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8692371

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Egnatia Rrogozhinë win · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1 Partizani Tirana
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Superliga Albanese
  • Fixture: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Tirana
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.32 — Partizani Tirana 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Superliga Albanese Superliga Albanese — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Teuta Durrës 5 4 1 0 13
2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5 4 0 1 12
3 Dinamo Tirana 5 4 0 1 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 6
6 KF Tirana 5 1 2 2 5
7 Partizani Tirana 5 1 1 3 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 4
9 Skënderbeu Korçë 5 0 3 2 3
10 Vllaznia Shkodër 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5 11 5 +6 12
2 Teuta Durrës 5 10 2 +8 13
3 Dinamo Tirana 5 10 5 +5 12
4 KF Tirana 5 8 9 -1 5
5 AF Elbasani 5 7 7 0 6
6 Laci 5 7 8 -1 7
7 Partizani Tirana 5 7 10 -3 4
8 Skënderbeu Korçë 5 5 7 -2 3
9 Vllaznia Shkodër 5 5 10 -5 2
10 Vora 5 3 10 -7 4