El Massira vs UTS Rabat Statistics & Analysis

El Massira

Jul 17, 2026 - 19:00

1 1.14

1 1.06

xG Accuracy: 95%

UTS Rabat

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 El Massira Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1666619

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · El Massira 1–1 UTS Rabat

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Botola Pro
Fixture: El Massira vs UTS Rabat
Kickoff: 2026-07-17 19:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.7% · Draw 32.6% · Away 31.7%
xG (showing): El Massira 1.14 — UTS Rabat 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.2)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 62.3% · Over 2.5 37.7%); BTTS No (Yes 46.2% · No 53.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 46.2% · No 53.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Botola Pro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Maghreb Fès	30	16	11	3	59
2	Renaissance Berkane	30	16	9	5	57
3	Raja Casablanca	30	16	8	6	56
4	FAR Rabat	30	13	16	1	55
5	Wydad Athletic Club	30	13	4	13	43
6	Difaa El Jadida	30	9	13	8	40
7	Ittihad Tanger	30	9	12	9	39
8	FUS Rabat	30	9	10	11	37
9	Kawkab Marrakech	30	8	12	10	36
10	CODM Meknès	30	9	9	12	36
11	CR Khemis Zemamra	30	8	9	13	33
12	Hassania Agadir	30	8	9	13	33
13	UTS Rabat	30	6	13	11	31
14	Yacoub El Mansour	30	7	9	14	30
15	Olympique Dcheïra	30	7	9	14	30
16	Olympique Safi	30	3	13	14	22

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FAR Rabat	30	45	22	+23	55
2	Renaissance Berkane	30	44	27	+17	57
3	Maghreb Fès	30	40	17	+23	59
4	Raja Casablanca	30	39	19	+20	56
5	Wydad Athletic Club	30	39	33	+6	43
6	Yacoub El Mansour	30	34	44	-10	30
7	UTS Rabat	30	32	40	-8	31
8	FUS Rabat	30	31	36	-5	37
9	Difaa El Jadida	30	30	34	-4	40
10	Olympique Dcheïra	30	29	40	-11	30
11	CR Khemis Zemamra	30	28	37	-9	33
12	Kawkab Marrakech	30	27	26	+1	36
13	Ittihad Tanger	30	27	31	-4	39
14	Hassania Agadir	30	27	39	-12	33
15	CODM Meknès	30	24	33	-9	36
16	Olympique Safi	30	24	42	-18	22