Svoboda vs Šencur Statistics & Analysis

Svoboda

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:30

0 1.17

1 1.43

xG Accuracy: 64%

Šencur

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Šencur Šencur ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10098555

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Šencur win · Svoboda 0–1 Šencur

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - Ovest
Fixture: Svoboda vs Šencur
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
xG (showing): Svoboda 1.17 — Šencur 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Ovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Izola	6	6	0	0	18
2	Idrija	6	5	1	0	16
3	Dob	6	4	1	1	13
4	Rudar Trbovlje	6	3	1	2	10
5	Šencur	6	2	3	1	9
6	Škofja Loka	6	2	3	1	9
7	Tolmin	6	2	3	1	9
8	Litija	6	2	2	2	8
9	Adria	6	2	1	3	7
10	Žiri	6	1	3	2	6
11	Šobec Lesce	6	0	3	3	3
12	IB 1975 Ljubljana	6	1	0	5	3
13	Vipava	6	1	0	5	3
14	Svoboda	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Izola	6	28	4	+24	18
2	Dob	6	15	5	+10	13
3	Šencur	6	12	9	+3	9
4	Škofja Loka	6	12	10	+2	9
5	Tolmin	6	11	9	+2	9
6	Adria	6	11	11	0	7
7	Idrija	6	10	4	+6	16
8	Vipava	6	10	28	-18	3
9	Rudar Trbovlje	6	9	10	-1	10
10	Litija	6	8	7	+1	8
11	Žiri	6	7	10	-3	6
12	IB 1975 Ljubljana	6	6	13	-7	3
13	Svoboda	6	5	18	-13	1
14	Šobec Lesce	6	4	10	-6	3