Vipava vs Idrija Statistics & Analysis

Vipava

Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.39

3 1.21

xG Accuracy: 52%

Idrija

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Vipava Idrija ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8679457

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Idrija win · Vipava 2–3 Idrija

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - Ovest
Fixture: Vipava vs Idrija
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Vipava 1.39 — Idrija 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Ovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Izola	5	5	0	0	15
2	Idrija	5	4	1	0	13
3	Dob	5	3	1	1	10
4	Rudar Trbovlje	5	3	1	1	10
5	Tolmin	5	2	3	0	9
6	Škofja Loka	5	2	2	1	8
7	Šencur	5	1	3	1	6
8	Litija	5	1	2	2	5
9	Žiri	5	1	2	2	5
10	Adria	5	1	1	3	4
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	5	1	0	4	3
12	Šobec Lesce	5	0	3	2	3
13	Vipava	5	1	0	4	3
14	Svoboda	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Izola	5	27	4	+23	15
2	Dob	5	11	5	+6	10
3	Tolmin	5	11	8	+3	9
4	Škofja Loka	5	11	9	+2	8
5	Rudar Trbovlje	5	9	7	+2	10
6	Šencur	5	9	9	0	6
7	Adria	5	9	11	-2	4
8	Vipava	5	8	25	-17	3
9	Idrija	5	7	2	+5	13
10	Žiri	5	6	9	-3	5
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	5	6	10	-4	3
12	Litija	5	5	7	-2	5
13	Svoboda	5	5	14	-9	1
14	Šobec Lesce	5	4	8	-4	3