Vipava vs Žiri Statistics & Analysis

Vipava

Aug 23, 2026 - 15:30

1 1.45

3 1.15

xG Accuracy: 53%

Žiri

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Vipava Žiri ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4236157

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Žiri win · Vipava 1–3 Žiri

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - Ovest
Fixture: Vipava vs Žiri
Kickoff: 2026-08-22 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Vipava 1.45 — Žiri 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Ovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Izola	4	4	0	0	12
2	Rudar Trbovlje	4	3	1	0	10
3	Idrija	4	3	1	0	10
4	Dob	4	2	1	1	7
5	Šencur	4	1	3	0	6
6	Tolmin	4	1	3	0	6
7	Škofja Loka	4	1	2	1	5
8	Žiri	4	1	2	1	5
9	Adria	4	1	1	2	4
10	Litija	4	1	1	2	4
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	4	1	0	3	3
12	Šobec Lesce	4	0	2	2	2
13	Svoboda	4	0	1	3	1
14	Vipava	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Izola	4	22	2	+20	12
2	Rudar Trbovlje	4	8	4	+4	10
3	Dob	4	8	4	+4	7
4	Škofja Loka	4	8	7	+1	5
5	Adria	4	8	9	-1	4
6	Šencur	4	7	4	+3	6
7	Tolmin	4	7	6	+1	6
8	Idrija	4	5	1	+4	10
9	Žiri	4	4	5	-1	5
10	Litija	4	4	6	-2	4
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	4	4	7	-3	3
12	Šobec Lesce	4	3	7	-4	2
13	Vipava	4	3	22	-19	0
14	Svoboda	4	2	9	-7	1