NK Ormoz vs Limbuš Pekre Statistics & Analysis

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NK Ormoz

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

4 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 34%

Limbuš Pekre

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 NK Ormoz NK Ormoz ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8684766

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result NK Ormoz win · NK Ormoz 4–0 Limbuš Pekre

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - Est
Fixture: NK Ormoz vs Limbuš Pekre
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): NK Ormoz 1.32 — Limbuš Pekre 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Est — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Odranci	6	5	1	0	16
2	NK Ormoz	6	4	1	1	13
3	Fužinar	6	4	0	2	12
4	Šmartno	6	3	1	2	10
5	Podvinci	6	3	1	2	10
6	Hajdina	7	2	3	2	9
7	Čarda Martjanci	6	2	2	2	8
8	Ljutomer	6	2	2	2	8
9	Videm	7	2	2	3	8
10	Korotan Prevalje	6	1	4	1	7
11	Dobrovce	6	2	0	4	6
12	Šampion Celje	6	1	1	4	4
13	Limbuš Pekre	6	1	1	4	4
14	Rače	6	0	3	3	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Odranci	6	19	10	+9	16
2	Fužinar	6	19	13	+6	12
3	Čarda Martjanci	6	16	12	+4	8
4	Šmartno	6	16	13	+3	10
5	NK Ormoz	6	14	7	+7	13
6	Hajdina	7	13	15	-2	9
7	Videm	7	13	17	-4	8
8	Podvinci	6	11	13	-2	10
9	Ljutomer	6	10	8	+2	8
10	Šampion Celje	6	10	13	-3	4
11	Dobrovce	6	8	16	-8	6
12	Korotan Prevalje	6	6	6	0	7
13	Rače	6	6	9	-3	3
14	Limbuš Pekre	6	5	14	-9	4