NK Ormoz vs Podvinci Statistics & Analysis

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NK Ormoz

Sep 05, 2026 - 14:30

0 1.33

2 1.27

xG Accuracy: 57%

Podvinci

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 NK Ormoz Podvinci ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 03:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6155181

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Podvinci win · NK Ormoz 0–2 Podvinci

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. SNL - Est
Fixture: NK Ormoz vs Podvinci
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): NK Ormoz 1.33 — Podvinci 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Est — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Odranci	5	5	0	0	15
2	Podvinci	5	3	1	1	10
3	NK Ormoz	5	3	1	1	10
4	Fužinar	5	3	0	2	9
5	Hajdina	5	2	2	1	8
6	Čarda Martjanci	5	2	1	2	7
7	Ljutomer	5	2	1	2	7
8	Šmartno	5	2	1	2	7
9	Korotan Prevalje	5	1	3	1	6
10	Videm	5	2	0	3	6
11	Šampion Celje	5	1	1	3	4
12	Limbuš Pekre	5	1	1	3	4
13	Dobrovce	5	1	0	4	3
14	Rače	5	0	2	3	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Odranci	5	16	7	+9	15
2	Fužinar	5	15	11	+4	9
3	Čarda Martjanci	5	14	10	+4	7
4	Podvinci	5	10	5	+5	10
5	NK Ormoz	5	10	7	+3	10
6	Šampion Celje	5	10	11	-1	4
7	Ljutomer	5	9	7	+2	7
8	Hajdina	5	9	9	0	8
9	Šmartno	5	8	12	-4	7
10	Videm	5	8	12	-4	6
11	Dobrovce	5	6	16	-10	3
12	Korotan Prevalje	5	5	5	0	6
13	Limbuš Pekre	5	5	10	-5	4
14	Rače	5	4	7	-3	2