Statistiche / Calcio / Slovenia. 3. SNL - Est / Čarda Martjanci vs NK Ormoz

Čarda Martjanci vs NK Ormoz Statistics & Analysis

Aug 30, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.37
3 1.23
xG Accuracy: 56%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Čarda Martjanci NK Ormoz ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 02:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5298265

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result NK Ormoz win · Čarda Martjanci 1–3 NK Ormoz
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. SNL - Est
  • Fixture: Čarda Martjanci vs NK Ormoz
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Čarda Martjanci 1.37 — NK Ormoz 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3. SNL - Est 3. SNL - Est — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Odranci 6 5 1 0 16
2 NK Ormoz 6 4 1 1 13
3 Fužinar 6 4 0 2 12
4 Šmartno 6 3 1 2 10
5 Podvinci 6 3 1 2 10
6 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 9
7 Čarda Martjanci 6 2 2 2 8
8 Ljutomer 6 2 2 2 8
9 Videm 7 2 2 3 8
10 Korotan Prevalje 6 1 4 1 7
11 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 6
12 Šampion Celje 6 1 1 4 4
13 Limbuš Pekre 6 1 1 4 4
14 Rače 6 0 3 3 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Odranci 6 19 10 +9 16
2 Fužinar 6 19 13 +6 12
3 Čarda Martjanci 6 16 12 +4 8
4 Šmartno 6 16 13 +3 10
5 NK Ormoz 6 14 7 +7 13
6 Hajdina 7 13 15 -2 9
7 Videm 7 13 17 -4 8
8 Podvinci 6 11 13 -2 10
9 Ljutomer 6 10 8 +2 8
10 Šampion Celje 6 10 13 -3 4
11 Dobrovce 6 8 16 -8 6
12 Korotan Prevalje 6 6 6 0 7
13 Rače 6 6 9 -3 3
14 Limbuš Pekre 6 5 14 -9 4