Šmartno vs NK Ormoz Statistics & Analysis

Šmartno

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:30

2 1.37

4 1.23

xG Accuracy: 39%

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NK Ormoz

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Šmartno NK Ormoz ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3361590

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result NK Ormoz win · Šmartno 2–4 NK Ormoz

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - Est
Fixture: Šmartno vs NK Ormoz
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Šmartno 1.37 — NK Ormoz 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Est — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Odranci	4	4	0	0	12
2	NK Ormoz	4	3	0	1	9
3	Podvinci	4	2	1	1	7
4	Šmartno	4	2	1	1	7
5	Hajdina	4	2	1	1	7
6	Fužinar	4	2	0	2	6
7	Ljutomer	4	2	0	2	6
8	Korotan Prevalje	4	1	3	0	6
9	Videm	5	2	0	3	6
10	Šampion Celje	4	1	1	2	4
11	Čarda Martjanci	4	1	1	2	4
12	Limbuš Pekre	4	1	0	3	3
13	Dobrovce	4	1	0	3	3
14	Rače	5	0	2	3	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Odranci	4	13	6	+7	12
2	Fužinar	4	11	8	+3	6
3	NK Ormoz	4	9	6	+3	9
4	Podvinci	4	8	5	+3	7
5	Ljutomer	4	8	6	+2	6
6	Hajdina	4	8	8	0	7
7	Videm	5	8	12	-4	6
8	Šmartno	4	7	5	+2	7
9	Šampion Celje	4	7	7	0	4
10	Čarda Martjanci	4	7	9	-2	4
11	Korotan Prevalje	4	5	3	+2	6
12	Dobrovce	4	5	13	-8	3
13	Rače	5	4	7	-3	2
14	Limbuš Pekre	4	4	9	-5	3