US Rumelange vs Victoria Rosport Statistics & Analysis

US Rumelange

Aug 16, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.39

2 1.21

xG Accuracy: 52%

Victoria Rosport

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 US Rumelange US Rumelange ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3607257

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result US Rumelange win · US Rumelange 3–2 Victoria Rosport

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Divisione Nazionale Lussemburgo
Fixture: US Rumelange vs Victoria Rosport
Kickoff: 2026-08-16 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): US Rumelange 1.39 — Victoria Rosport 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Divisione Nazionale Lussemburgo — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	UNA Strassen	6	6	0	0	18
2	FC Differdange 03	7	6	0	1	18
3	US Mondorf-les-Bains	6	6	0	0	18
4	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	7	5	1	1	16
5	Progres Niederkorn	7	5	0	2	15
6	UN Käerjeng 97	7	4	0	3	12
7	US Hostert	7	3	1	3	10
8	Résidence Walferdange	6	3	0	3	9
9	Atert Bissen	6	3	0	3	9
10	F91 Dudelange	7	2	1	4	7
11	AS Jeunesse Esch	7	2	0	5	6
12	US Rumelange	6	2	0	4	6
13	Wiltz	7	1	1	5	4
14	Victoria Rosport	7	1	1	5	4
15	Etzella Ettelbruck	7	1	1	5	4
16	Swift Hesperange	6	0	0	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	7	21	8	+13	16
2	UN Käerjeng 97	7	19	13	+6	12
3	FC Differdange 03	7	16	5	+11	18
4	US Mondorf-les-Bains	6	14	7	+7	18
5	UNA Strassen	6	13	1	+12	18
6	Progres Niederkorn	7	13	5	+8	15
7	US Hostert	7	13	10	+3	10
8	AS Jeunesse Esch	7	13	16	-3	6
9	Wiltz	7	12	18	-6	4
10	Résidence Walferdange	6	11	9	+2	9
11	Victoria Rosport	7	10	19	-9	4
12	Atert Bissen	6	8	9	-1	9
13	US Rumelange	6	8	15	-7	6
14	F91 Dudelange	7	6	11	-5	7
15	Etzella Ettelbruck	7	5	14	-9	4
16	Swift Hesperange	6	2	24	-22