Hemmingen vs Meppen II Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Meppen II Hemmingen ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 06:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6354904

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hemmingen win · Hemmingen 3–2 Meppen II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia
  • Fixture: Hemmingen vs Meppen II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Hemmingen 1.28 — Meppen II 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Borussia Hildesheim 8 6 0 2 18
2 Heeslinger SC 7 5 2 0 17
3 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 5 2 1 17
4 Spelle-Venhaus 7 4 3 0 15
5 Wilhelmshaven 7 4 2 1 14
6 BW Lohne 8 4 2 2 14
7 Eintracht Braunschweig II 7 4 1 2 13
8 Bersenbrück 7 3 1 3 10
9 Nordhorn 7 3 1 3 10
10 Hemmingen 8 2 1 5 7
11 Verden 04 7 1 3 3 6
12 Germania Egestorf 7 1 2 4 5
13 Lüneburger SK Hansa 7 0 4 3 4
14 Meppen II 7 1 1 5 4
15 Vorsfelde 7 1 1 5 4
16 Drochtersen/Assel II 7 1 0 6 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eintracht Braunschweig II 7 25 13 +12 13
2 Heeslinger SC 7 22 5 +17 17
3 Spelle-Venhaus 7 17 7 +10 15
4 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 17 9 +8 17
5 BW Lohne 8 17 12 +5 14
6 Borussia Hildesheim 8 15 8 +7 18
7 Wilhelmshaven 7 13 4 +9 14
8 Bersenbrück 7 11 10 +1 10
9 Lüneburger SK Hansa 7 11 14 -3 4
10 Meppen II 7 11 22 -11 4
11 Nordhorn 7 9 15 -6 10
12 Drochtersen/Assel II 7 9 16 -7 3
13 Germania Egestorf 7 9 21 -12 5
14 Hemmingen 8 9 22 -13 7
15 Verden 04 7 8 12 -4 6
16 Vorsfelde 7 4 17 -13 4