Verden 04 vs Hemmingen Statistics & Analysis

Aug 16, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.33
2 1.27
xG Accuracy: 68%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Verden 04 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3605400

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Verden 04 2–2 Hemmingen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia
  • Fixture: Verden 04 vs Hemmingen
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-16 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Verden 04 1.33 — Hemmingen 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Heeslinger SC 9 5 3 1 18
2 Borussia Hildesheim 8 6 0 2 18
3 Eintracht Braunschweig II 9 5 2 2 17
4 Wilhelmshaven 8 5 2 1 17
5 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 5 2 1 17
6 Spelle-Venhaus 8 4 3 1 15
7 BW Lohne 8 4 2 2 14
8 Nordhorn 9 3 2 4 11
9 Verden 04 9 2 4 3 10
10 Bersenbrück 8 3 1 4 10
11 Meppen II 9 3 1 5 10
12 Germania Egestorf 8 2 2 4 8
13 Hemmingen 8 2 1 5 7
14 Lüneburger SK Hansa 8 0 5 3 5
15 Vorsfelde 9 1 2 6 5
16 Drochtersen/Assel II 8 1 0 7 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eintracht Braunschweig II 9 30 16 +14 17
2 Heeslinger SC 9 26 12 +14 18
3 Meppen II 9 18 23 -5 10
4 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 17 9 +8 17
5 Spelle-Venhaus 8 17 11 +6 15
6 BW Lohne 8 17 12 +5 14
7 Wilhelmshaven 8 16 4 +12 17
8 Borussia Hildesheim 8 15 8 +7 18
9 Verden 04 9 13 14 -1 10
10 Nordhorn 9 13 21 -8 11
11 Germania Egestorf 8 13 21 -8 8
12 Lüneburger SK Hansa 8 12 15 -3 5
13 Bersenbrück 8 11 14 -3 10
14 Drochtersen/Assel II 8 9 19 -10 3
15 Hemmingen 8 9 22 -13 7
16 Vorsfelde 9 7 22 -15 5