BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus Statistics & Analysis

BW Lohne

Aug 14, 2026 - 17:30

1 1.28

3 1.32

xG Accuracy: 58%

Spelle-Venhaus

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Spelle-Venhaus Spelle-Venhaus ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3233551

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spelle-Venhaus win · BW Lohne 1–3 Spelle-Venhaus

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia
Fixture: BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus
Kickoff: 2026-08-14 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): BW Lohne 1.28 — Spelle-Venhaus 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Borussia Hildesheim	8	6	0	2	18
2	Heeslinger SC	7	5	2	0	17
3	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	8	5	2	1	17
4	Spelle-Venhaus	7	4	3	0	15
5	Wilhelmshaven	7	4	2	1	14
6	BW Lohne	8	4	2	2	14
7	Eintracht Braunschweig II	7	4	1	2	13
8	Bersenbrück	7	3	1	3	10
9	Nordhorn	7	3	1	3	10
10	Hemmingen	8	2	1	5	7
11	Verden 04	7	1	3	3	6
12	Germania Egestorf	7	1	2	4	5
13	Lüneburger SK Hansa	7	0	4	3	4
14	Meppen II	7	1	1	5	4
15	Vorsfelde	7	1	1	5	4
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Eintracht Braunschweig II	7	25	13	+12	13
2	Heeslinger SC	7	22	5	+17	17
3	Spelle-Venhaus	7	17	7	+10	15
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	8	17	9	+8	17
5	BW Lohne	8	17	12	+5	14
6	Borussia Hildesheim	8	15	8	+7	18
7	Wilhelmshaven	7	13	4	+9	14
8	Bersenbrück	7	11	10	+1	10
9	Lüneburger SK Hansa	7	11	14	-3	4
10	Meppen II	7	11	22	-11	4
11	Nordhorn	7	9	15	-6	10
12	Drochtersen/Assel II	7	9	16	-7	3
13	Germania Egestorf	7	9	21	-12	5
14	Hemmingen	8	9	22	-13	7
15	Verden 04	7	8	12	-4	6
16	Vorsfelde	7	4	17	-13	4