Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. National League - Sud / Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town Statistics & Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 49%
Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Dagenham & Redbridge Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13229161

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Dagenham & Redbridge 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National League - Sud
  • Fixture: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Dagenham & Redbridge 1.31 — Hemel Hempstead Town 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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National League - Sud National League - Sud — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Maidstone United 10 6 1 3 19
2 Dagenham & Redbridge 10 6 1 3 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18
4 Billericay Town 10 5 3 2 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 17
6 Truro City 9 5 2 2 17
7 Dover Athletic 10 5 2 3 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 16
9 Farnham Town 9 5 1 3 16
10 Tonbridge Angels 10 4 2 4 14
11 Maidenhead United 10 3 4 3 13
12 Hemel Hempstead Town 10 3 4 3 13
13 Torquay United 10 3 4 3 13
14 Folkestone Invicta 9 3 3 3 12
15 Chelmsford City 9 1 8 0 11
16 Horsham 9 2 5 2 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 11
18 Chesham United 10 3 1 6 10
19 Braintree Town 9 3 1 5 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 10
21 Ebbsfleet United 5 2 3 0 9
22 Hampton & Richmond Borough 10 2 2 6 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Dorking Wanderers 10 22 16 +6 16
2 Billericay Town 10 21 14 +7 18
3 Tonbridge Angels 10 19 11 +8 14
4 Salisbury 10 18 7 +11 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 18 10 +8 17
6 Maidstone United 10 18 11 +7 19
7 Dover Athletic 10 17 16 +1 17
8 Chesham United 10 16 19 -3 10
9 Braintree Town 9 16 22 -6 10
10 Folkestone Invicta 9 15 11 +4 12
11 Farnham Town 9 14 12 +2 16
12 Truro City 9 13 5 +8 17
13 Torquay United 10 13 14 -1 13
14 Maidenhead United 10 12 11 +1 13
15 Hampton & Richmond Borough 10 11 24 -13 8
16 Dagenham & Redbridge 10 10 7 +3 19
17 Hemel Hempstead Town 10 10 10 0 13
18 Slough Town 10 10 24 -14 4
19 Chelmsford City 9 9 8 +1 11
20 Horsham 9 9 10 -1 11
21 Farnborough 9 8 13 -5 11
22 AFC Totton 9 8 15 -7 10
23 Ebbsfleet United 5 6 3 +3 9
24 Walton & Hersham 9 6 26 -20 2
National League - Sud Inghilterra. National League - Sud Pronostici