Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. National League - Nord / Macclesfield vs Harborough Town

Macclesfield vs Harborough Town Statistics & Analysis

Macclesfield Macclesfield
Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 64%
Harborough Town Harborough Town
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Macclesfield Macclesfield ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10100073

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Macclesfield win · Macclesfield 1–0 Harborough Town
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National League - Nord
  • Fixture: Macclesfield vs Harborough Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Macclesfield 1.39 — Harborough Town 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.5% · Probability edge: +10.3 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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National League - Nord National League - Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Hereford FC 10 7 2 1 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 17
7 Chester FC 10 5 2 3 17
8 King's Lynn Town 10 5 1 4 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 16
10 Bedford Town 10 5 1 4 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 12
15 Hednesford Town 10 3 3 4 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12
17 Harborough Town 10 3 3 4 12
18 Worksop Town 10 4 0 6 12
19 Brackley Town 10 3 3 4 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 9
21 AFC Telford United 10 2 3 5 9
22 Darlington 1883 10 2 1 7 7
23 Spennymoor Town 10 1 4 5 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Hereford FC 10 22 5 +17 23
2 King's Lynn Town 10 20 15 +5 16
3 Oxford City 10 18 7 +11 20
4 Buxton 10 18 18 0 16
5 Hednesford Town 10 17 17 0 12
6 Hebburn Town 10 16 16 0 18
7 Chorley 10 16 17 -1 14
8 Scarborough Athletic 10 15 12 +3 12
9 South Shields 10 15 13 +2 20
10 Spalding United 10 14 8 +6 17
11 Morecambe 10 14 9 +5 14
12 Bedford Town 10 14 14 0 16
13 Macclesfield 10 13 6 +7 21
14 Chester FC 10 13 9 +4 17
15 Southport 10 13 20 -7 9
16 Merthyr Town 10 12 11 +1 13
17 Marine 10 12 12 0 12
18 Darlington 1883 10 12 21 -9 7
19 Brackley Town 10 11 19 -8 12
20 Spennymoor Town 10 11 21 -10 7
21 Harborough Town 10 10 12 -2 12
22 Worksop Town 10 10 16 -6 12
23 Radcliffe 10 9 20 -11 6
24 AFC Telford United 10 8 15 -7 9