Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe Statistics & Analysis

Hednesford Town

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00

4 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 45%

Radcliffe

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10100067

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hednesford Town win · Hednesford Town 4–1 Radcliffe

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: National League - Nord
Fixture: Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Hednesford Town 1.35 — Radcliffe 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

National League - Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Hereford FC	10	7	2	1	23
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	21
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	20
4	South Shields	10	6	2	2	20
5	Hebburn Town	10	5	3	2	18
6	Spalding United	10	5	2	3	17
7	Chester FC	10	5	2	3	17
8	King's Lynn Town	10	5	1	4	16
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	16
10	Bedford Town	10	5	1	4	16
11	Morecambe	10	4	2	4	14
12	Chorley	10	4	2	4	14
13	Merthyr Town	10	3	4	3	13
14	Scarborough Athletic	10	3	3	4	12
15	Hednesford Town	10	3	3	4	12
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12
17	Harborough Town	10	3	3	4	12
18	Worksop Town	10	4	0	6	12
19	Brackley Town	10	3	3	4	12
20	Southport	10	2	3	5	9
21	AFC Telford United	10	2	3	5	9
22	Darlington 1883	10	2	1	7	7
23	Spennymoor Town	10	1	4	5	7
24	Radcliffe	10	2	0	8	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Hereford FC	10	22	5	+17	23
2	King's Lynn Town	10	20	15	+5	16
3	Oxford City	10	18	7	+11	20
4	Buxton	10	18	18	0	16
5	Hednesford Town	10	17	17	0	12
6	Hebburn Town	10	16	16	0	18
7	Chorley	10	16	17	-1	14
8	Scarborough Athletic	10	15	12	+3	12
9	South Shields	10	15	13	+2	20
10	Spalding United	10	14	8	+6	17
11	Morecambe	10	14	9	+5	14
12	Bedford Town	10	14	14	0	16
13	Macclesfield	10	13	6	+7	21
14	Chester FC	10	13	9	+4	17
15	Southport	10	13	20	-7	9
16	Merthyr Town	10	12	11	+1	13
17	Marine	10	12	12	0	12
18	Darlington 1883	10	12	21	-9	7
19	Brackley Town	10	11	19	-8	12
20	Spennymoor Town	10	11	21	-10	7
21	Harborough Town	10	10	12	-2	12
22	Worksop Town	10	10	16	-6	12
23	Radcliffe	10	9	20	-11	6
24	AFC Telford United	10	8	15	-7	9