SV Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte Statistics & Analysis

SV Rödinghausen

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.30

1 1.30

xG Accuracy: 76%

Sportfreunde Lotte

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 SV Rödinghausen SV Rödinghausen ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11227378

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result SV Rödinghausen win · SV Rödinghausen 2–1 Sportfreunde Lotte

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga West
Fixture: SV Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): SV Rödinghausen 1.3 — Sportfreunde Lotte 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga West — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	10	8	1	1	25
2	FC Gütersloh	11	7	2	2	23
3	Borussia Dortmund II	10	6	4	0	22
4	Borussia Mönchengladbach II	11	6	2	3	20
5	Westfalia Rhynern	11	5	2	4	17
6	Sportfreunde Siegen	10	4	4	2	16
7	Bergisch Gladbach	11	5	1	5	16
8	Bonner SC	11	3	6	2	15
9	Schalke 04 II	10	5	0	5	15
10	Köln II	10	4	2	4	14
11	Paderborn II	10	3	4	3	13
12	FC Bocholt	11	3	4	4	13
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	11	3	3	5	12
14	Hilden	11	3	3	5	12
15	Bochum II	11	3	2	6	11
16	SV Rödinghausen	11	2	3	6	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	2	2	7	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	11	0	3	8	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FC Gütersloh	11	26	13	+13	23
2	Borussia Mönchengladbach II	11	25	13	+12	20
3	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	10	24	9	+15	25
4	FC Bocholt	11	24	26	-2	13
5	Bonner SC	11	21	20	+1	15
6	Borussia Dortmund II	10	20	10	+10	22
7	Schalke 04 II	10	20	20	0	15
8	Westfalia Rhynern	11	20	22	-2	17
9	Köln II	10	19	18	+1	14
10	Paderborn II	10	19	18	+1	13
11	Bergisch Gladbach	11	19	22	-3	16
12	Sportfreunde Siegen	10	18	15	+3	16
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	11	16	20	-4	12
14	Hilden	11	16	23	-7	12
15	SV Rödinghausen	11	15	20	-5	9
16	Bochum II	11	14	20	-6	11
17	Wiedenbrück	11	14	26	-12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	11	7	22	-15	3