Köln II vs Hilden Statistics & Analysis

Köln II

Sep 26, 2026 - 12:00

4 1.34

3 1.26

xG Accuracy: 30%

Hilden

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Köln II Köln II ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10084854

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Köln II win · Köln II 4–3 Hilden

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga West
Fixture: Köln II vs Hilden
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Köln II 1.34 — Hilden 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga West — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	11	9	1	1	28
2	Borussia Dortmund II	11	7	4	0	25
3	FC Gütersloh	11	7	2	2	23
4	Borussia Mönchengladbach II	11	6	2	3	20
5	Westfalia Rhynern	11	5	2	4	17
6	Sportfreunde Siegen	11	4	4	3	16
7	Bergisch Gladbach	11	5	1	5	16
8	Bonner SC	11	3	6	2	15
9	Schalke 04 II	10	5	0	5	15
10	Köln II	10	4	2	4	14
11	FC Bocholt	11	3	4	4	13
12	Paderborn II	11	3	4	4	13
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	11	3	3	5	12
14	Hilden	11	3	3	5	12
15	Bochum II	11	3	2	6	11
16	SV Rödinghausen	11	2	3	6	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	2	2	7	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	11	0	3	8	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	11	28	9	+19	28
2	FC Gütersloh	11	26	13	+13	23
3	Borussia Mönchengladbach II	11	25	13	+12	20
4	FC Bocholt	11	24	26	-2	13
5	Borussia Dortmund II	11	23	11	+12	25
6	Bonner SC	11	21	20	+1	15
7	Schalke 04 II	10	20	20	0	15
8	Westfalia Rhynern	11	20	22	-2	17
9	Sportfreunde Siegen	11	19	18	+1	16
10	Köln II	10	19	18	+1	14
11	Bergisch Gladbach	11	19	22	-3	16
12	Paderborn II	11	19	22	-3	13
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	11	16	20	-4	12
14	Hilden	11	16	23	-7	12
15	SV Rödinghausen	11	15	20	-5	9
16	Bochum II	11	14	20	-6	11
17	Wiedenbrück	11	14	26	-12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	11	7	22	-15	3