Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Regionalliga Sudwest / Stuttgarter Kickers vs Kickers Offenbach

Stuttgarter Kickers vs Kickers Offenbach Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.35
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 59%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10976185

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Stuttgarter Kickers win · Stuttgarter Kickers 2–0 Kickers Offenbach
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga Sudwest
  • Fixture: Stuttgarter Kickers vs Kickers Offenbach
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Stuttgarter Kickers 1.35 — Kickers Offenbach 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.6% · Probability edge: +12.2 pts · Est. EV: +23.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga Sudwest Regionalliga Sudwest — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 SGV Freiberg 10 5 5 0 20
2 Stuttgarter Kickers 10 6 2 2 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 19
4 VfR Aalen 10 5 3 2 18
5 Friburgo II 9 4 4 1 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14
9 TSV Steinbach 10 3 4 3 13
10 SV Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 13
11 FSV Francoforte 9 3 3 3 12
12 Hessen Kassel 10 3 2 5 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 10
14 FC Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 9
15 FSV Magonza 05 II 10 3 0 7 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 9
17 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 6
18 SSV Ulm 1846 10 0 5 5 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 SGV Freiberg 10 26 11 +15 20
2 Kickers Offenbach 10 20 13 +7 19
3 Stuttgarter Kickers 10 19 13 +6 20
4 VfR Aalen 10 18 11 +7 18
5 Friburgo II 9 18 11 +7 16
6 Hessen Kassel 10 17 19 -2 11
7 SV Sandhausen 10 16 20 -4 13
8 TSV Steinbach 10 15 15 0 13
9 FC Astoria Walldorf 10 15 18 -3 9
10 VfR Mannheim 9 14 9 +5 14
11 FSV Francoforte 9 14 13 +1 12
12 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz 10 14 22 -8 6
13 FC 08 Homburg 10 13 13 0 15
14 SSV Ulm 1846 10 13 21 -8 5
15 Eintracht Trier 10 11 11 0 16
16 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 11 12 -1 10
17 FSV Magonza 05 II 10 10 21 -11 9
18 Kaiserslautern II 9 7 18 -11 9