Friburgo II vs VfR Mannheim Statistics & Analysis

Friburgo II

Aug 30, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 49%

VfR Mannheim

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Friburgo II Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5290897

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Friburgo II 0–0 VfR Mannheim

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Sudwest
Fixture: Friburgo II vs VfR Mannheim
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Friburgo II 1.36 — VfR Mannheim 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Sudwest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Kickers Offenbach	7	5	1	1	16
2	SGV Freiberg	7	4	3	0	15
3	Eintracht Trier	7	4	1	2	13
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	7	4	1	2	13
5	FC 08 Homburg	7	4	1	2	13
6	FSV Francoforte	7	3	3	1	12
7	VfR Aalen	7	3	3	1	12
8	Friburgo II	7	2	4	1	10
9	TSV Steinbach	7	2	3	2	9
10	Hessen Kassel	7	3	0	4	9
11	VfR Mannheim	7	1	5	1	8
12	SV Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	8
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	7	2	1	4	7
14	FC Astoria Walldorf	7	1	3	3	6
15	FSV Magonza 05 II	7	2	0	5	6
16	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	7	1	2	4	5
17	Kaiserslautern II	7	1	2	4	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	7	0	3	4	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	SGV Freiberg	7	19	5	+14	15
2	Kickers Offenbach	7	16	7	+9	16
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	7	14	11	+3	13
4	FSV Francoforte	7	13	8	+5	12
5	Friburgo II	7	13	9	+4	10
6	TSV Steinbach	7	12	12	0	9
7	Hessen Kassel	7	12	13	-1	9
8	SV Sandhausen	7	11	16	-5	8
9	FC 08 Homburg	7	10	9	+1	13
10	Eintracht Frankfurt II	7	10	12	-2	7
11	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	7	10	13	-3	5
12	VfR Aalen	7	9	6	+3	12
13	SSV Ulm 1846	7	9	16	-7	3
14	Eintracht Trier	7	8	4	+4	13
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	7	8	12	-4	6
16	FSV Magonza 05 II	7	8	17	-9	6
17	VfR Mannheim	7	6	6	0	8
18	Kaiserslautern II	7	5	17	-12	5